Hurricane Blog

99L - Sifting Through the Model Noise

Wednesday, August 25th, 2021 - With Fred, Grace, and Henri out of the way, the Atlantic has given us 3 new Invests as a reminder that the...

A (Somewhat) Comprehensive Guide to Recon Data

It's August 12 as I write this, and the Atlantic is starting to get going a bit with Fred, and another wave behind with a strong chance...

All About the MJO

We're now into August, and with that, attention turns to the "wave train" off of Africa for our next series of tropical development...

Velocity Potential (VP200) and Subseasonal Forecasting

We've reached the end of July, and are quickly approaching the peak of Atlantic Hurricane Season. Things have been quiet since Elsa...

Elsa and the Usefulness of Microwave Imagery

After another busy start to Atlantic Hurricane Season in June, July is quick out the gate with the naming of Tropical Storm Elsa early...

The Diurnal Cycle of Tropical Convection

We're approaching the end of June, and with that, our focus for Hurricane Season will gradually start to shift eastward from here. So...

Invest 92L - Convective Bursts and the Hurricane Life Cycle

It's June 16 as I write this up, and all eyes are on the Gulf of Mexico, where Invest 92L looks set to creep northward and likely become...

TS Ana, and a Tool to Visualize How We Got There

The 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season is underway, and like the prior 6 years, things got started a bit early. Tropical Storm Ana (below)...