top of page

Publications and Presentations

Bold names indicate either myself, or a student that I have mentored or co-mentored.

Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles

2023

Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2023). Regimes of convective self-aggregation in convection-permitting beta-plane simulations. J. Atmos. Sci., 80, 2187-2205, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-22-0222.1.

2022

Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2022). A spectrum for convective self-aggregation based on background rotation. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 14, e2021MS002860, doi:10.1029/2021MS002860.

Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2022). Simulating dropsondes to assess moist static energy variability in tropical cyclones. Geophys. Res. Lett., 49, e2022GL099101, doi:10.1029/2022GL099101.

2020

Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2020). Tropical cyclogenesis from self-aggregated convection in numerical simulations of rotating radiative-convective equilibrium. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 12, e2019MS002020, doi:10.1029/2019MS002020.

Articles in Prep or in Review

Carstens, J. D., A. C. Didlake, Jr., & C. M. Zarzycki. Tropical cyclone wind shear-relative asymmetry in reanalyses. J. Climate, in review.

 

Kopelman, M. V., A. A. Wing, & J. D. Carstens. Dropsonde-derived moist static energy variability in Atlantic hurricanes. Geophys. Res. Lett., in prep.

 

Carstens, J. D., C. M. Zarzycki, A. C. Didlake, Jr., & C. A. Purdy. Tropical cyclone response to vertical wind shear under warming in a variable-resolution global climate model. Geophys. Res. Lett., in prep.

Carstens, J. D., C. K. Uejio et al. Tropical cyclones and climate change: An overview for the public health community. Public Health, in prep.

 

Theses and Other Articles

Carstens, J. D. (2017). North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific tropical cyclone intensity comparison using integrated kinetic energy. Undergraduate Honors thesis at Florida State University.

 

Carstens, J. D. (2019). Tropical cyclogenesis from self-aggregated convection in numerical simulations of rotating radiative-convective equilibrium. Master's thesis at Florida State University.

Carstens, J. D., C. K. Uejio, & A. A. Wing (2021). Understanding past, present, and future tropical cyclone activity. Review article for the Florida Climate Center.

Carstens, J. D. (2022). The sensitivity of convective self-aggregation and tropical cyclogenesis to planetary rotation. Doctoral dissertation at Florida State University.

A 5-minute talk on convective self-aggregation from the 2020 Midwest Student Conference for Atmospheric Research (MSCAR), hosted virtually by the University of Illinois. This won MSCAR's "Best Lightning Talk" award.

Virtual presentation on convective self-aggregation and tropical cyclogenesis, from the 34th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology in 2021.

Virtual presentation on estimating moist static energy variability in tropical cyclones, from the 34th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology in 2021.

Invited Presentations

2024

"Hurricane asymmetry in a warming climate: Capturing the mesoscale in global climate models." University of Louisiana at Monroe Atmospheric Science Seminar, 27 March 2024.

"New insights on hurricanes from emerging modeling and observational tools." University of North Dakota Atmospheric Sciences Seminar, 27 February 2024.

2023

"Process-level understanding of hurricanes and tropical convection in models and observations." Salisbury University Geography and Geosciences Seminar, 4 December 2023

"Organized tropical convection in idealized models, observations, and climate models". Mississippi State University Geosciences Seminar, 31 March 2023.

2022

"What goes into a hurricane forecast?" City of Tallahassee Hurricane PREP Workshop, 2020-2022.

"Radiative-convective equilibrium and tropical deep convection." Penn State University Climate Dynamics Seminar, 19 October 2022.

"Hurricanes and climate change." Presented most recently at Vermont State University Department of Natural Sciences on 11 March 2024. Also presented at Salisbury University Department of Geography and Geosciences on 4 December 2023, University of Florida's Indian River Research and Education Center on 18 November 2022, Florida A&M University's Energy Water Food Nexus on 12 April 2022, and as Florida BRACE webinar on 26 August 2021. (Link to original webinar recording)

2021

"A spectrum for convective self-aggregation based on background rotation." Florida State University Meteorology Seminar, 21 January 2021.

"On the 2020 hurricane season… And enduring it as a TC-focused grad student." West Central Florida AMS Chapter Meeting, 21 January 2021.

"Tips for the atmospheric science graduate school experience". Northeastern Storm Conference, 24 April 2021.

Conference Presentations

2024

Carstens, J. D., A. C. Didlake, Jr., & C. M. Zarzycki (2024). Tropical cyclone-wind shear interactions under global warming scenarios in a variable-resolution climate model. Oral presentation at the 104th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Baltimore, Maryland. Poster presentation at the American Meteorological Society 36th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Long Beach, CA.
 

Kopelman, M. V., A. A. Wing, & J. D. Carstens (2024). Dropsonde-derived moist static energy variability in Atlantic hurricanes. Oral presentation at the 104th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Baltimore, Maryland. Poster presentation at the American Meteorological Society 36th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Long Beach, CA.

Carstens, J. D. (2024). Controls of rotation on tropical convection in idealized simulations. ePoster presentation at the 104th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Baltimore, Maryland.
 

Purdy, C. A., J. D. Carstens, K. M. Nardi, B. S. Rojas, N. R. Barron, A. C. Didlake, Jr., & C. M. Zarzycki (2024). Asymmetric structure of tropical cyclones in the Community Atmosphere Model 5 (CAM5). Poster presentation at the 104th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Baltimore, Maryland.

2023

Carstens, J. D., A. C. Didlake, Jr., & C. M. Zarzycki (2023). Tropical cyclone shear-induced asymmetry in reanalyses and climate models. Oral presentation at the 103rd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Denver, Colorado.

Carstens, J. D., A. C. Didlake, Jr., & C. M. Zarzycki (2023). Asymmetric tropical cyclone structure and processes in reanalyses and climate models. Oral presentation at the 10th Northeast Tropical Workshop, Albany, New York.

Carstens, J. D., C. M. Zarzycki, & A. C. Didlake, Jr. (2023). Asymmetric tropical cyclone structure and processes in reanalyses and climate models. Oral presentation at the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes, Madison, Wisconsin.

2022

Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2022). Simulating dropsondes to assess moist static energy variability in tropical cyclones. Poster presentation at the American Meteorological Society 35th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, New Orleans, Louisiana.

Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2022). Convective self-aggregation, equatorial waves, and tropical cyclones in idealized beta-plane simulations. Oral presentation at the 35th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, New Orleans, Louisiana. (Max Eaton Award Winner)

Kopelman, M. V., J. D. Carstens, A. A. Wing, M. E. O’Neill, J. P. Dunion, & D. R. Chavas (2022). Estimation of tropical cyclone moist static energy variability from dropsonde data. Oral presentation at the 35th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, New Orleans, Louisiana.

Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2022). Regimes of convective self-aggregation in convection-permitting beta-plane simulations. Poster presentation at Tropical Cyclones, Convection, and Climate: A Symposium in Honor of Kerry Emanuel, Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Carstens, J. D., M. V. Kopelman, & A. A. Wing (2022). Tropical cyclone moist static energy structure in idealized simulations and dropsonde observations. Oral presentation at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Chicago, Illinois.

2021

Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2021). Tropical cyclogenesis mechanisms in radiative-convective equilibrium simulations of varying rotation. Oral presentation at the 34th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. (See video on this page)

Carstens, J. D., M. V. Kopelman, & A. A. Wing (2021). Estimating moist static energy and surface enthalpy flux variance in a mature hurricane: Modeling and an observational case study. Oral presentation at the 34th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. (See video on this page)

2020

Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2020). Pathways to tropical cyclogenesis in rotating radiative-convective equilibrium simulations. Poster presentation at the 100th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Boston, Massachusetts.

Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2020). A spectrum for convective self-aggregation based on background rotation. Oral presentation at the 4th Midwest Student Conference on Atmospheric Research. (Best Lightning Talk Award Winner, see video on this page)

2019

Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2019). Tropical cyclogenesis from self-aggregated convection in idealized numerical simulations: Sensitivity to planetary vorticity. Poster presentation at the 99th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Phoenix, Arizona.

2017

Carstens, J. D., & V. Misra (2017). North Atlantic and East Pacific tropical cyclone intensity comparison with integrated kinetic energy. Poster presentation at the 97th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Seattle, Washington.

2016

 

Carstens, J. D., S. R. Smith, M. A. Bourassa, & J. J. Rolph (2016). Examination of SAMOS sea temperature biases. Poster presentation at the Fourth International Workshop on the Advances in the Use of Historical Marine Climate Data (MARCDAT-IV), National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom.

bottom of page