
Publications and Presentations
Bold names indicate either myself, or a student that I have mentored.
Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles
2025
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Carstens, J. D., C. K. Uejio, E. Powell, J. Jung, and S. Zonka (2025). Tropical cyclones and climate change: An overview for the public health community. Environmental Research, in press, doi:10.1016/j.envres.2025.122149.
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2024
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Kopelman, M. V., A. A. Wing, & J. D. Carstens (2024). Spatial variability of dropsonde-derived moist static energy in North Atlantic tropical cyclones. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL111086, doi:10.1129/2024GL111086.
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Carstens, J. D., A. C. Didlake, Jr., & C. M. Zarzycki (2024). Tropical cyclone wind shear-relative asymmetry in reanalyses. Journal of Climate, 37, 5793-5816, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0628.1.
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2023
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Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2023). Regimes of convective self-aggregation in convection-permitting beta-plane simulations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 80, 2187-2205, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-22-0222.1.
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2022
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Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2022). A spectrum for convective self-aggregation based on background rotation. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14, e2021MS002860, doi:10.1029/2021MS002860.
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Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2022). Simulating dropsondes to assess moist static energy variability in tropical cyclones. Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2022GL099101, doi:10.1029/2022GL099101.
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2020
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Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2020). Tropical cyclogenesis from self-aggregated convection in numerical simulations of rotating radiative-convective equilibrium. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12, e2019MS002020, doi:10.1029/2019MS002020.
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Articles in Prep, Review, or Revision​​
Trujillo-Falcón, J. E., J. D. Carstens, V. Alonso, J. Martucci, E. Grow Cei, & E. C. Wolff. #WxTwitter, #ClimateTok, and the emergence of digital meteorology. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, in revision.
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Carstens, J. D., C. M. Zarzycki, A. C. Didlake, Jr., & C. A. Purdy. Tropical cyclone asymmetry in a variable-resolution global climate model. Geoscientific Model Development, in prep.​​
Theses and Other Articles
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Carstens, J. D. (2017). North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific tropical cyclone intensity comparison using integrated kinetic energy. Undergraduate Honors thesis at Florida State University.
Carstens, J. D. (2019). Tropical cyclogenesis from self-aggregated convection in numerical simulations of rotating radiative-convective equilibrium. Master's thesis at Florida State University.
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Carstens, J. D., C. K. Uejio, & A. A. Wing (2021). Understanding past, present, and future tropical cyclone activity. Review article for the Florida Climate Center.
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Carstens, J. D. (2022). The sensitivity of convective self-aggregation and tropical cyclogenesis to planetary rotation. Doctoral dissertation at Florida State University.
Invited Presentations
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2025
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"Early career professionals: Effective ways to network". Unifying Innovations in Forecasting Capabilities Workshop (UIFCW25), 10 September 2025.
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"Academic jobs: Realities, challenges, opportunities, and setting yourself up for success. 24th AMS Student Conference, 12 January 2025.
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2024
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"Writing an effective abstract for the AMS Student Conference." AMS Board on Student Affairs Webinar, 12 August 2024.
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"Hurricane forecasting tips and tools." Presented most recently at Penn State Advanced Weather Camp, 24 June 2024.
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"A tropical meteorologist walks into a corn field." University of Nebraska School of Natural Resources Seminar, 29 April 2024.
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"Getting 1% better: Reflecting on 10 years since enrolling at Florida State." North Florida AMS/NWA Chapter Banquet, 20 April 2024.
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"Climate change and extreme weather." WPSU Student Climate Day, Panel Discussion on Climate Science, 2 April 2024.
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"Hurricane asymmetry in a warming climate: Capturing the mesoscale in global climate models." University of Louisiana at Monroe Atmospheric Science Seminar, 27 March 2024.
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"Hurricanes and climate change." Presented most recently at Vermont State University Department of Natural Sciences on 11 March 2024. Also presented at Salisbury University Department of Geography and Geosciences on 4 December 2023, University of Florida's Indian River Research and Education Center on 18 November 2022, Florida A&M University's Energy Water Food Nexus on 12 April 2022, and as Florida BRACE webinar on 26 August 2021. (Link to original webinar recording)
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"New insights on hurricanes from emerging modeling and observational tools." University of North Dakota Atmospheric Sciences Seminar, 27 February 2024.
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2023
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"Process-level understanding of hurricanes and tropical convection in models and observations." Salisbury University Geography and Geosciences Seminar, 4 December 2023
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"Organized tropical convection in idealized models, observations, and climate models". Mississippi State University Geosciences Seminar, 31 March 2023.
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2022
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"Radiative-convective equilibrium and tropical deep convection." Penn State University Climate Dynamics Seminar, 19 October 2022.
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"What goes into a hurricane forecast?" City of Tallahassee Hurricane PREP Workshop, 2020-2022.​​
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2021
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"Tips for the atmospheric science graduate school experience". Northeastern Storm Conference, 24 April 2021.
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"A spectrum for convective self-aggregation based on background rotation." Florida State University Meteorology Seminar, 21 January 2021.
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"On the 2020 hurricane season… And enduring it as a TC-focused grad student." West Central Florida AMS Chapter Meeting, 21 January 2021.
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Conference Presentations
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2025
Polmatier, J., C. Slad, A. Tippie, & J. D. Carstens (2025). UND Weather Update: Transitioning a traditional broadcast club into the digital landscape. Oral presentation at the 52nd AMS Conference on Broadcast and Digital Meteorology, Boise, ID.
Carstens, J. D. (2025). Tropical cyclones in a warming climate: Structural insights from a variable-resolution global climate model. Oral presentation at the Seminar for Local Atmospheric Research, Grand Forks, ND.
Walters, S. E., & J. D. Carstens (2025). A global climatology of tropical cyclone integrated kinetic energy. Oral presentation at the Seminar for Local Atmospheric Research, Grand Forks, ND.
McGarry, Jr., M. A., & J. D. Carstens (2025). Asymmetric tropical cyclone processes in high-resolution climate models. Oral presentation at the Seminar for Local Atmospheric Research, Grand Forks, ND.
Carstens, J. D., J. E. Trujillo-Falcón, E. Grow Cei, V. Alonso, J. Martucci, & E. C. Wolff (2025). Digital meteorology in the classroom: Building a comprehensive course. Oral presentation at the 105th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, New Orleans, LA.
Carstens, J. D., S. Killingsworth, B. Abramowitz, & M. Ennes (2025). An atmospheric Scientist in Every Florida School. Oral presentation at the 105th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, New Orleans, LA.
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2024
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Carstens, J. D., A. C. Didlake, Jr., & C. M. Zarzycki (2024). Tropical cyclone-wind shear interactions under global warming scenarios in a variable-resolution climate model. Oral presentation at the 104th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Baltimore, Maryland. Poster presentation at the American Meteorological Society 36th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Long Beach, CA.
Kopelman, M. V., A. A. Wing, & J. D. Carstens (2024). Dropsonde-derived moist static energy variability in Atlantic hurricanes. Oral presentation at the 104th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Baltimore, Maryland. Poster presentation at the American Meteorological Society 36th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Long Beach, CA.
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Carstens, J. D. (2024). Controls of rotation on tropical convection in idealized simulations. ePoster presentation at the 104th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Baltimore, Maryland.
Purdy, C. A., J. D. Carstens, K. M. Nardi, B. S. Rojas, N. R. Barron, A. C. Didlake, Jr., & C. M. Zarzycki (2024). Asymmetric structure of tropical cyclones in the Community Atmosphere Model 5 (CAM5). Poster presentation at the 104th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Baltimore, Maryland.
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2023
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Carstens, J. D., A. C. Didlake, Jr., & C. M. Zarzycki (2023). Tropical cyclone shear-induced asymmetry in reanalyses and climate models. Oral presentation at the 103rd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Denver, Colorado.
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Carstens, J. D., A. C. Didlake, Jr., & C. M. Zarzycki (2023). Asymmetric tropical cyclone structure and processes in reanalyses and climate models. Oral presentation at the 10th Northeast Tropical Workshop, Albany, New York.
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Carstens, J. D., C. M. Zarzycki, & A. C. Didlake, Jr. (2023). Asymmetric tropical cyclone structure and processes in reanalyses and climate models. Oral presentation at the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes, Madison, Wisconsin.
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2022
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Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2022). Simulating dropsondes to assess moist static energy variability in tropical cyclones. Poster presentation at the American Meteorological Society 35th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, New Orleans, Louisiana.
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Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2022). Convective self-aggregation, equatorial waves, and tropical cyclones in idealized beta-plane simulations. Oral presentation at the 35th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, New Orleans, Louisiana. (Max Eaton Award Winner)
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Kopelman, M. V., J. D. Carstens, A. A. Wing, M. E. O’Neill, J. P. Dunion, & D. R. Chavas (2022). Estimation of tropical cyclone moist static energy variability from dropsonde data. Oral presentation at the 35th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, New Orleans, Louisiana.
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Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2022). Regimes of convective self-aggregation in convection-permitting beta-plane simulations. Poster presentation at Tropical Cyclones, Convection, and Climate: A Symposium in Honor of Kerry Emanuel, Cambridge, Massachusetts.
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Carstens, J. D., M. V. Kopelman, & A. A. Wing (2022). Tropical cyclone moist static energy structure in idealized simulations and dropsonde observations. Oral presentation at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Chicago, Illinois.
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2021
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Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2021). Tropical cyclogenesis mechanisms in radiative-convective equilibrium simulations of varying rotation. Oral presentation at the 34th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology.
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Carstens, J. D., M. V. Kopelman, & A. A. Wing (2021). Estimating moist static energy and surface enthalpy flux variance in a mature hurricane: Modeling and an observational case study. Oral presentation at the 34th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology.
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2020
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Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2020). Pathways to tropical cyclogenesis in rotating radiative-convective equilibrium simulations. Poster presentation at the 100th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Boston, Massachusetts.
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Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2020). A spectrum for convective self-aggregation based on background rotation. Oral presentation at the 4th Midwest Student Conference on Atmospheric Research. (Best Lightning Talk Award Winner)
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2019
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Carstens, J. D., & A. A. Wing (2019). Tropical cyclogenesis from self-aggregated convection in idealized numerical simulations: Sensitivity to planetary vorticity. Poster presentation at the 99th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Phoenix, Arizona.
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2017
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Carstens, J. D., & V. Misra (2017). North Atlantic and East Pacific tropical cyclone intensity comparison with integrated kinetic energy. Poster presentation at the 97th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Seattle, Washington.
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2016
Carstens, J. D., S. R. Smith, M. A. Bourassa, & J. J. Rolph (2016). Examination of SAMOS sea temperature biases. Poster presentation at the Fourth International Workshop on the Advances in the Use of Historical Marine Climate Data (MARCDAT-IV), National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom.